Surgical Preparedness Index: Validating Global Capacity for Elective Surgery Resilience; Research by Asad Islam

The global need for resilient elective surgery systems was cast into sharp relief during the COVID-19 pandemic, which disrupted planned surgical care worldwide. Responding to this challenge, an international research consortium developed and validated the Surgical Preparedness Index (SPI)—an objective, multidomain metric to assess hospital-level readiness to maintain elective surgical services during systemic shocks.


Methods and Measurement
The genesis of the SPI involved expert consensus and pilot studies in 1632 hospitals drawn from 119 countries. Using a rigorous development framework, an initial list of 103 readiness indicators was systematically reduced to 23 validated metrics, grouped into five domains: facilities, consumables, staff, prioritization, and management systems. Each indicator was precisely defined and globally applicable, supporting robust benchmarking and cross-country comparison. SPI scores were then correlated against hospital elective surgical volume recovery post-pandemic to estimate predictive validity.


Results

  • Income-Stratified Disparities: SPI scores display substantial global variation: high-income countries scored highest on average (88.5), followed by middle-income (81.8) and low-income (66.8) hospitals.

  • Capacity and Resilience: Statistically, a 10-point increment in SPI corresponded to a 3.6% improvement in elective surgical volume recovery following COVID-19 disruptions.

  • Systems and Facilities: Systems/processes and facility domains most reliably predicted recovery, but also represented the largest gaps for LMIC hospitals.

  • Feasibility for Policy: SPI measurement is practical for annual adoption, offering actionable data for targeted improvement efforts in both resource-rich and resource-constrained settings.


Discussion
SPI empowers health policymakers, administrators, and funders to diagnose system vulnerabilities and prioritize investments. The index provides a standardized lens for comparing and tracking elective surgery system strength over time. Its predictive power—the ability to forecast performance during crises—gives hospital leaders a novel management tool for risk mitigation and resource planning. Adoption of annual SPI assessment can facilitate strategic, data-driven reforms that protect patient care during emergencies and routine operations alike.

Comments

  1. The SPI's validation during COVID-19 brilliantly shows how preparedness directly correlates with maintained surgical volumes—truly inspiring work by Asad Islam.

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  2. Impressive scale: assessing 1632 hospitals across 119 countries to validate a tool that truly strengthens elective surgery systems. Brilliant contribution, Asad!598126
    thelancet.com

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  3. "Love how this paper ties surgical preparedness to broader metrics like UHC and health security. Measuring disparities at national and subnational levels is crucial for targeted interventions—excellent contribution from Asad Islam's team!"

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  4. Kudos to Asad Islam for developing the Surgical Preparedness Index— a simple yet powerful framework that turns data into actionable resilience against crises like COVID-19!b2e860

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  5. The correlation between SPI scores and post-COVID recovery is a compelling finding for policymakers. It would be valuable to expand on integrating SPI into national health strategies, perhaps with tools for ongoing monitoring to track progress toward Universal Health Coverage.

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  6. The article provides a robust framework for measuring surgical system strength, but incorporating case studies or real-world applications could enhance its practical relevance for policymakers and healthcare practitioners.

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  7. Impressive work on creating a pragmatic, evidence-based tool for elective surgery preparedness. The predictive validity for post-pandemic recovery is a strong selling point. To enhance accessibility, consider developing a user-friendly app or dashboard for hospitals to self-assess and track SPI metrics annually.

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  8. The methodology is well-detailed, yet clarifying the scalability of the proposed metrics across diverse healthcare systems would strengthen its global applicability.

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  9. Solid breakdown of the methodology and findings. The correlation between SPI scores and post-COVID recovery is compelling evidence for its utility. Suggestion: Include visuals like charts comparing scores across income levels to make the data more accessible for non-experts.

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